🧠 What Are Pot Odds?
Pot odds help you decide if a call is worth it.
You’re comparing:
🔸 The cost of the call
🔸 To the potential total pot you could win
You’re basically asking:
“Are the odds of me hitting my hand better than the price I’m paying to see the next card?”
🎯 Pot Odds Formula
Pot Odds (%) = (Amount to Call) / (Total Pot After Your Call) × 100
🔢 Example 1: Flush Draw on the Turn
Your hand: Ace♣ Jack♣
Board: 6♣ 10♥ 5♣ 2♦
You have a flush draw (9 outs).
Pot: $100
Villain bets: $50
You need to call: $50
Step 1: Total Pot After You Call
$100 (pot) + $50 (villain bet) + $50 (your call) = $200
Step 2: Pot Odds
$50 / $200 = 0.25 → 25%
Step 3: Your Chance of Hitting
You’ve got 9 outs, and there are 46 unseen cards
→ 9 / 46 = 19.6%
✅ Decision
You need 25% to break even, but your draw is only ~19.6%
Fold, unless you think you can win more money on the river (implied odds)
🔢 Example 2: Open-Ended Straight Draw
Your hand: 8♠ 9♠
Flop: 6♦ 7♣ K♥
You can hit a 5 or a 10 → 8 outs
Pot: $80
Villain bets: $40
You need to call: $40
Step 1: Total Pot After Call
$80 + $40 + $40 = $160
Step 2: Pot Odds
$40 / $160 = 25%
Step 3: Hit Chance
With 8 outs:
- Turn only: 8 / 47 ≈ 17%
- Turn + River: ~31%
✅ Decision
If villain is only letting you see one card (turn), fold.
If you’re confident they’ll check turn and let you see river, then call is good.
🔢 Example 3: Set Mining Preflop
Your hand: 6♠ 6♦
Villain raises to $6
Pot before your call = $9
You must call $6
Step 1: Total Pot After Call
$9 + $6 = $15
Step 2: Pot Odds
$6 / $15 = 40%
Step 3: Set Odds
You hit a set on the flop ~11.8% of the time
❌ Decision
Your pot odds are not good enough. You need to win 10x what you call when set mining.
So you’d want villain to have $60+ behind to make this a profitable call.
🔢 Example 4: River Bluff Catch
Your hand: Ace♠ 9♠
Board: Q♠ J♦ 3♣ 7♣ 2♥
You missed everything — just ace-high
Pot: $200
Villain jams $100
Call = $100
Step 1: Total Pot After Call
$200 + $100 + $100 = $400
Step 2: Pot Odds
$100 / $400 = 25%
✅ Decision
If you believe villain is bluffing more than 25% of the time, calling is +EV.
Pot odds work even when you don’t have a draw, just depends on bluff frequency.
🧠 Odds of Common Draws
| Draw Type | Outs | Turn or River (%) | Turn + River (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open-Ended Straight Draw | 8 | ~17% | ~31% |
| Flush Draw | 9 | ~19.5% | ~35% |
| Gutshot (Inside Straight) | 4 | ~8.5% | ~16.5% |
| Two Overcards | 6 | ~13% | ~24% |
⚡ Quick Trick: Rule of 2 and 4
- Multiply outs by 2 to estimate odds with one card to come
- Multiply outs by 4 to estimate odds with two cards to come
Example: 9 outs
- Turn only: 9 × 2 = 18%
- Turn + River: 9 × 4 = 36%
✅ TL;DR
- Use the formula:
Call / (Pot + Call) - Count your outs and convert them into % chance of winning
- If your chance to win is greater than the pot odds → Call
- If not, fold unless implied odds are juicy
- Use the “Rule of 2 and 4” as a shortcut in real time
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